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Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts

Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts
Hi guys,
I have been using reddit for years in my personal life (not trading!) and wanted to give something back in an area where i am an expert.
I worked at an investment bank for seven years and joined them as a graduate FX trader so have lots of professional experience, by which i mean I was trained and paid by a big institution to trade on their behalf. This is very different to being a full-time home trader, although that is not to discredit those guys, who can accumulate a good amount of experience/wisdom through self learning.
When I get time I'm going to write a mid-length posts on each topic for you guys along the lines of how i was trained. I guess there would be 15-20 topics in total so about 50-60 posts. Feel free to comment or ask questions.
The first topic is Risk Management and we'll cover it in three parts
Part I
  • Why it matters
  • Position sizing
  • Kelly
  • Using stops sensibly
  • Picking a clear level

Why it matters

The first rule of making money through trading is to ensure you do not lose money. Look at any serious hedge fund’s website and they’ll talk about their first priority being “preservation of investor capital.”
You have to keep it before you grow it.
Strangely, if you look at retail trading websites, for every one article on risk management there are probably fifty on trade selection. This is completely the wrong way around.
The great news is that this stuff is pretty simple and process-driven. Anyone can learn and follow best practices.
Seriously, avoiding mistakes is one of the most important things: there's not some holy grail system for finding winning trades, rather a routine and fairly boring set of processes that ensure that you are profitable, despite having plenty of losing trades alongside the winners.

Capital and position sizing

The first thing you have to know is how much capital you are working with. Let’s say you have $100,000 deposited. This is your maximum trading capital. Your trading capital is not the leveraged amount. It is the amount of money you have deposited and can withdraw or lose.
Position sizing is what ensures that a losing streak does not take you out of the market.
A rule of thumb is that one should risk no more than 2% of one’s account balance on an individual trade and no more than 8% of one’s account balance on a specific theme. We’ll look at why that’s a rule of thumb later. For now let’s just accept those numbers and look at examples.
So we have $100,000 in our account. And we wish to buy EURUSD. We should therefore not be risking more than 2% which $2,000.
We look at a technical chart and decide to leave a stop below the monthly low, which is 55 pips below market. We’ll come back to this in a bit. So what should our position size be?
We go to the calculator page, select Position Size and enter our details. There are many such calculators online - just google "Pip calculator".

https://preview.redd.it/y38zb666e5h51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=26e4fe569dc5c1f43ce4c746230c49b138691d14
So the appropriate size is a buy position of 363,636 EURUSD. If it reaches our stop level we know we’ll lose precisely $2,000 or 2% of our capital.
You should be using this calculator (or something similar) on every single trade so that you know your risk.
Now imagine that we have similar bets on EURJPY and EURGBP, which have also broken above moving averages. Clearly this EUR-momentum is a theme. If it works all three bets are likely to pay off. But if it goes wrong we are likely to lose on all three at once. We are going to look at this concept of correlation in more detail later.
The total amount of risk in our portfolio - if all of the trades on this EUR-momentum theme were to hit their stops - should not exceed $8,000 or 8% of total capital. This allows us to go big on themes we like without going bust when the theme does not work.
As we’ll see later, many traders only win on 40-60% of trades. So you have to accept losing trades will be common and ensure you size trades so they cannot ruin you.
Similarly, like poker players, we should risk more on trades we feel confident about and less on trades that seem less compelling. However, this should always be subject to overall position sizing constraints.
For example before you put on each trade you might rate the strength of your conviction in the trade and allocate a position size accordingly:

https://preview.redd.it/q2ea6rgae5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=4332cb8d0bbbc3d8db972c1f28e8189105393e5b
To keep yourself disciplined you should try to ensure that no more than one in twenty trades are graded exceptional and allocated 5% of account balance risk. It really should be a rare moment when all the stars align for you.
Notice that the nice thing about dealing in percentages is that it scales. Say you start out with $100,000 but end the year up 50% at $150,000. Now a 1% bet will risk $1,500 rather than $1,000. That makes sense as your capital has grown.
It is extremely common for retail accounts to blow-up by making only 4-5 losing trades because they are leveraged at 50:1 and have taken on far too large a position, relative to their account balance.
Consider that GBPUSD tends to move 1% each day. If you have an account balance of $10k then it would be crazy to take a position of $500k (50:1 leveraged). A 1% move on $500k is $5k.
Two perfectly regular down days in a row — or a single day’s move of 2% — and you will receive a margin call from the broker, have the account closed out, and have lost all your money.
Do not let this happen to you. Use position sizing discipline to protect yourself.

Kelly Criterion

If you’re wondering - why “about 2%” per trade? - that’s a fair question. Why not 0.5% or 10% or any other number?
The Kelly Criterion is a formula that was adapted for use in casinos. If you know the odds of winning and the expected pay-off, it tells you how much you should bet in each round.
This is harder than it sounds. Let’s say you could bet on a weighted coin flip, where it lands on heads 60% of the time and tails 40% of the time. The payout is $2 per $1 bet.
Well, absolutely you should bet. The odds are in your favour. But if you have, say, $100 it is less obvious how much you should bet to avoid ruin.
Say you bet $50, the odds that it could land on tails twice in a row are 16%. You could easily be out after the first two flips.
Equally, betting $1 is not going to maximise your advantage. The odds are 60/40 in your favour so only betting $1 is likely too conservative. The Kelly Criterion is a formula that produces the long-run optimal bet size, given the odds.
Applying the formula to forex trading looks like this:
Position size % = Winning trade % - ( (1- Winning trade %) / Risk-reward ratio
If you have recorded hundreds of trades in your journal - see next chapter - you can calculate what this outputs for you specifically.
If you don't have hundreds of trades then let’s assume some realistic defaults of Winning trade % being 30% and Risk-reward ratio being 3. The 3 implies your TP is 3x the distance of your stop from entry e.g. 300 pips take profit and 100 pips stop loss.
So that’s 0.3 - (1 - 0.3) / 3 = 6.6%.
Hold on a second. 6.6% of your account probably feels like a LOT to risk per trade.This is the main observation people have on Kelly: whilst it may optimise the long-run results it doesn’t take into account the pain of drawdowns. It is better thought of as the rational maximum limit. You needn’t go right up to the limit!
With a 30% winning trade ratio, the odds of you losing on four trades in a row is nearly one in four. That would result in a drawdown of nearly a quarter of your starting account balance. Could you really stomach that and put on the fifth trade, cool as ice? Most of us could not.
Accordingly people tend to reduce the bet size. For example, let’s say you know you would feel emotionally affected by losing 25% of your account.
Well, the simplest way is to divide the Kelly output by four. You have effectively hidden 75% of your account balance from Kelly and it is now optimised to avoid a total wipeout of just the 25% it can see.
This gives 6.6% / 4 = 1.65%. Of course different trading approaches and different risk appetites will provide different optimal bet sizes but as a rule of thumb something between 1-2% is appropriate for the style and risk appetite of most retail traders.
Incidentally be very wary of systems or traders who claim high winning trade % like 80%. Invariably these don’t pass a basic sense-check:
  • How many live trades have you done? Often they’ll have done only a handful of real trades and the rest are simulated backtests, which are overfitted. The model will soon die.
  • What is your risk-reward ratio on each trade? If you have a take profit $3 away and a stop loss $100 away, of course most trades will be winners. You will not be making money, however! In general most traders should trade smaller position sizes and less frequently than they do. If you are going to bias one way or the other, far better to start off too small.

How to use stop losses sensibly

Stop losses have a bad reputation amongst the retail community but are absolutely essential to risk management. No serious discretionary trader can operate without them.
A stop loss is a resting order, left with the broker, to automatically close your position if it reaches a certain price. For a recap on the various order types visit this chapter.
The valid concern with stop losses is that disreputable brokers look for a concentration of stops and then, when the market is close, whipsaw the price through the stop levels so that the clients ‘stop out’ and sell to the broker at a low rate before the market naturally comes back higher. This is referred to as ‘stop hunting’.
This would be extremely immoral behaviour and the way to guard against it is to use a highly reputable top-tier broker in a well regulated region such as the UK.
Why are stop losses so important? Well, there is no other way to manage risk with certainty.
You should always have a pre-determined stop loss before you put on a trade. Not having one is a recipe for disaster: you will find yourself emotionally attached to the trade as it goes against you and it will be extremely hard to cut the loss. This is a well known behavioural bias that we’ll explore in a later chapter.
Learning to take a loss and move on rationally is a key lesson for new traders.
A common mistake is to think of the market as a personal nemesis. The market, of course, is totally impersonal; it doesn’t care whether you make money or not.
Bruce Kovner, founder of the hedge fund Caxton Associates
There is an old saying amongst bank traders which is “losers average losers”.
It is tempting, having bought EURUSD and seeing it go lower, to buy more. Your average price will improve if you keep buying as it goes lower. If it was cheap before it must be a bargain now, right? Wrong.
Where does that end? Always have a pre-determined cut-off point which limits your risk. A level where you know the reason for the trade was proved ‘wrong’ ... and stick to it strictly. If you trade using discretion, use stops.

Picking a clear level

Where you leave your stop loss is key.
Typically traders will leave them at big technical levels such as recent highs or lows. For example if EURUSD is trading at 1.1250 and the recent month’s low is 1.1205 then leaving it just below at 1.1200 seems sensible.

If you were going long, just below the double bottom support zone seems like a sensible area to leave a stop
You want to give it a bit of breathing room as we know support zones often get challenged before the price rallies. This is because lots of traders identify the same zones. You won’t be the only one selling around 1.1200.
The “weak hands” who leave their sell stop order at exactly the level are likely to get taken out as the market tests the support. Those who leave it ten or fifteen pips below the level have more breathing room and will survive a quick test of the level before a resumed run-up.
Your timeframe and trading style clearly play a part. Here’s a candlestick chart (one candle is one day) for GBPUSD.

https://preview.redd.it/moyngdy4f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=91af88da00dd3a09e202880d8029b0ddf04fb802
If you are putting on a trend-following trade you expect to hold for weeks then you need to have a stop loss that can withstand the daily noise. Look at the downtrend on the chart. There were plenty of days in which the price rallied 60 pips or more during the wider downtrend.
So having a really tight stop of, say, 25 pips that gets chopped up in noisy short-term moves is not going to work for this kind of trade. You need to use a wider stop and take a smaller position size, determined by the stop level.
There are several tools you can use to help you estimate what is a safe distance and we’ll look at those in the next section.
There are of course exceptions. For example, if you are doing range-break style trading you might have a really tight stop, set just below the previous range high.

https://preview.redd.it/ygy0tko7f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=34af49da61c911befdc0db26af66f6c313556c81
Clearly then where you set stops will depend on your trading style as well as your holding horizons and the volatility of each instrument.
Here are some guidelines that can help:
  1. Use technical analysis to pick important levels (support, resistance, previous high/lows, moving averages etc.) as these provide clear exit and entry points on a trade.
  2. Ensure that the stop gives your trade enough room to breathe and reflects your timeframe and typical volatility of each pair. See next section.
  3. Always pick your stop level first. Then use a calculator to determine the appropriate lot size for the position, based on the % of your account balance you wish to risk on the trade.
So far we have talked about price-based stops. There is another sort which is more of a fundamental stop, used alongside - not instead of - price stops. If either breaks you’re out.
For example if you stop understanding why a product is going up or down and your fundamental thesis has been confirmed wrong, get out. For example, if you are long because you think the central bank is turning hawkish and AUDUSD is going to play catch up with rates … then you hear dovish noises from the central bank and the bond yields retrace lower and back in line with the currency - close your AUDUSD position. You already know your thesis was wrong. No need to give away more money to the market.

Coming up in part II

EDIT: part II here
Letting stops breathe
When to change a stop
Entering and exiting winning positions
Risk:reward ratios
Risk-adjusted returns

Coming up in part III

Squeezes and other risks
Market positioning
Bet correlation
Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

***
Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]

Some trading wisdom, tools and information I picked up along the way that helped me be a better trader. Maybe it can help you too.

Its a bit lengthy and I tried to condense it as much as I can. So take everything at a high level as each subject is has a lot more depth but fundamentally if you distill it down its just taking simple things and applying your experience using them to add nuance and better deploy them.
There are exceptions to everything that you will learn with experience or have already learned. If you know something extra or something to add to it to implement it better or more accurately. Then great! However, my intention of this post is just a high level overview. Trading can be far too nuanced to go into in this post and would take forever to type up every exception (not to mention the traders individual personality). If you take the general information as a starting point, hopefully you will learn the edge cases long the way and learn how to use the more effectively if you end up using them. I apologize in advice for any errors or typos.
Introduction After reflecting on my fun (cough) trading journey that was more akin to rolling around on broken glass and wondering if brown glass will help me predict market direction better than green glass. Buying a $100 indicator at 2 am when I was acting a fool, looking at it and going at and going "This is a piece of lagging crap, I miss out on a large part of the fundamental move and never using it for even one trade". All while struggling with massive over trading and bad habits because I would get bored watching a single well placed trade on fold for the day. Also, I wanted to get rich quick.
On top all of that I had a terminal Stage 4 case of FOMO on every time the price would move up and then down then back up. Just think about all those extra pips I could have trading both directions as it moves across the chart! I can just sell right when it goes down, then buy right before it goes up again. Its so easy right? Well, turns out it was not as easy as I thought and I lost a fair chunk of change and hit my head against the wall a lot until it clicked. Which is how I came up with a mixed bag of things that I now call "Trade the Trade" which helped support how I wanted to trade so I can still trade intra day price action like a rabid money without throwing away all my bananas.
Why Make This Post? - Core Topic of Discussion I wish to share a concept I came up with that helped me become a reliable trader. Support the weakness of how I like to trade. Also, explaining what I do helps reinforce my understanding of the information I share as I have to put words to it and not just use internalized processes. I came up with a method that helped me get my head straight when trading intra day.
I call it "Trade the Trade" as I am making mini trades inside of a trade setup I make from analysis on a higher timeframe that would take multiple days to unfold or longer. I will share information, principles, techniques I used and learned from others I talked to on the internet (mixed bag of folks from armatures to professionals, and random internet people) that helped me form a trading style that worked for me. Even people who are not good at trading can say something that might make it click in your head so I would absorbed all the information I could get.I will share the details of how I approach the methodology and the tools in my trading belt that I picked up by filtering through many tools, indicators strategies and witchcraft. Hopefully you read something that ends up helping you be a better trader. I learned a lot from people who make community posts so I wanted to give back now that I got my ducks in a row.
General Trading Advice If your struggling finding your own trading style, fixing weakness's in it, getting started, being reliably profitable or have no framework to build yourself higher with, hopefully you can use the below advice to help provide some direction or clarity to moving forward to be a better trader.
  1. KEEP IT SIMPLE. Do not throw a million things on your chart from the get go or over analyzing what the market is doing while trying to learn the basics. Tons of stuff on your chart can actually slow your learning by distracting your focus on all your bells and whistles and not the price action.
  2. PRICE ACTION. Learn how to read price action. Not just the common formations, but larger groups of bars that form the market structure. Those formations carry more weight the higher the time frame they form on. If struggle to understand what is going on or what your looking at, move to a higher time frame.
  3. INDICATORS. If you do use them you should try to understand how every indicator you use calculates its values. Many indicators are lagging indicators, understanding how it calculates the values can help you learn how to identify the market structure before the indicator would trigger a signal . This will help you understand why the signal is a lagged signal. If you understand that you can easily learn to look at the price action right before the signal and learn to watch for that price action on top of it almost trigging a signal so you can get in at a better position and assume less downside risk. I recommend using no more than 1-2 indicators for simplicity, but your free to use as many as you think you think you need or works for your strategy/trading style.
  4. PSYCOLOGY. First, FOMO is real, don't feed the beast. When you trade you should always have an entry and exit. If you miss your entry do not chase it, wait for a new entry. At its core trading is gambling and your looking for an edge against the house (the other market participants). With that in mind, treat as such. Do not risk more than you can afford to lose. If you are afraid to lose it will negatively effect your trade decisions. Finally, be honest with your self and bad trading happens. No one is going to play trade cop and keep you in line, that's your job.
  5. TRADE DECISION MARKING: Before you enter any trade you should have an entry and exit area. As you learn price action you will get better entries and better exits. Use a larger zone and stop loss at the start while learning. Then you can tighten it up as you gain experience. If you do not have a area you wish to exit, or you are entering because "the markets looking like its gonna go up". Do not enter the trade. Have a reason for everything you do, if you cannot logically explain why then you probably should not be doing it.
  6. ROBOTS/ALGOS: Loved by some, hated by many who lost it all to one, and surrounded by scams on the internet. If you make your own, find a legit one that works and paid for it or lost it all on a crappy one, more power to ya. I do not use robots because I do not like having a robot in control of my money. There is too many edge cases for me to be ok with it.However, the best piece of advice about algos was that the guy had a algo/robot for each market condition (trending/ranging) and would make personalized versions of each for currency pairs as each one has its own personality and can make the same type of movement along side another currency pair but the price action can look way different or the move can be lagged or leading. So whenever he does his own analysis and he sees a trend, he turns the trend trading robot on. If the trend stops, and it starts to range he turns the range trading robot on. He uses robots to trade the market types that he is bad at trading. For example, I suck at trend trading because I just suck at sitting on my hands and letting my trade do its thing.

Trade the Trade - The Methodology

Base Principles These are the base principles I use behind "Trade the Trade". Its called that because you are technically trading inside your larger high time frame trade as it hopefully goes as you have analyzed with the trade setup. It allows you to scratch that intraday trading itch, while not being blind to the bigger market at play. It can help make sense of why the price respects, rejects or flat out ignores support/resistance/pivots.
  1. Trade Setup: Find a trade setup using high level time frames (daily, 4hr, or 1hr time frames). The trade setup will be used as a base for starting to figure out a bias for the markets direction for that day.
  2. Indicator Data: Check any indicators you use (I use Stochastic RSI and Relative Vigor Index) for any useful information on higher timeframes.
  3. Support Resistance: See if any support/resistance/pivot points are in currently being tested/resisted by the price. Also check for any that are within reach so they might become in play through out the day throughout the day (which can influence your bias at least until the price reaches it if it was already moving that direction from previous days/weeks price action).
  4. Currency Strength/Weakness: I use the TradeVision currency strength/weakness dashboard to see if the strength/weakness supports the narrative of my trade and as an early indicator when to keep a closer eye for signs of the price reversing.Without the tool, the same concept can be someone accomplished with fundamentals and checking for higher level trends and checking cross currency pairs for trends as well to indicate strength/weakness, ranging (and where it is in that range) or try to get some general bias from a higher level chart that may help you out. However, it wont help you intra day unless your monitoring the currency's index or a bunch of charts related to the currency.
  5. Watch For Trading Opportunities: Personally I make a mental short list and alerts on TradingView of currency pairs that are close to key levels and so I get a notification if it reaches there so I can check it out. I am not against trading both directions, I just try to trade my bias before the market tries to commit to a direction. Then if I get out of that trade I will scalp against the trend of the day and hold trades longer that are with it.Then when you see a opportunity assume the directional bias you made up earlier (unless the market solidly confirms with price action the direction while waiting for an entry) by trying to look for additional confirmation via indicators, price action on support/resistances etc on the low level time frame or higher level ones like hourly/4hr as the day goes on when the price reaches key areas or makes new market structures to get a good spot to enter a trade in the direction of your bias.Then enter your trade and use the market structures to determine how much of a stop you need. Once your in the trade just monitor it and watch the price action/indicators/tools you use to see if its at risk of going against you. If you really believe the market wont reach your TP and looks like its going to turn against you, then close the trade. Don't just hold on to it for principle and let it draw down on principle or the hope it does not hit your stop loss.
  6. Trade Duration Hold your trades as long or little as you want that fits your personality and trading style/trade analysis. Personally I do not hold trades past the end of the day (I do in some cases when a strong trend folds) and I do not hold trades over the weekends. My TP targets are always places I think it can reach within the day. Typically I try to be flat before I sleep and trade intra day price movements only. Just depends on the higher level outlook, I have to get in at really good prices for me to want to hold a trade and it has to be going strong. Then I will set a slightly aggressive stop on it before I leave. I do know several people that swing trade and hold trades for a long period of time. That is just not a trading style that works for me.
Enhance Your Success Rate Below is information I picked up over the years that helped me enhance my success rate with not only guessing intra day market bias (even if it has not broken into the trend for the day yet (aka pre London open when the end of Asia likes to act funny sometimes), but also with trading price action intra day.
People always say "When you enter a trade have an entry and exits. I am of the belief that most people do not have problem with the entry, its the exit. They either hold too long, or don't hold long enough. With the below tools, drawings, or instruments, hopefully you can increase your individual probability of a successful trade.
**P.S.*\* Your mileage will vary depending on your ability to correctly draw, implement and interpret the below items. They take time and practice to implement with a high degree of proficiency. If you have any questions about how to do that with anything listed, comment below and I will reply as I can. I don't want to answer the same question a million times in a pm.
Tools and Methods Used This is just a high level overview of what I use. Each one of the actions I could go way more in-depth on but I would be here for a week typing something up of I did that. So take the information as a base level understanding of how I use the method or tool. There is always nuance and edge cases that you learn from experience.
Conclusion
I use the above tools/indicators/resources/philosophy's to trade intra day price action that sometimes ends up as noise in the grand scheme of the markets movement.use that method until the price action for the day proves the bias assumption wrong. Also you can couple that with things like Stoch RSI + Relative Vigor Index to find divergences which can increase the probability of your targeted guesses.

Trade Example from Yesterday This is an example of a trade I took today and why I took it. I used the following core areas to make my trade decision.
It may seem like a lot of stuff to process on the fly while trying to figure out live price action but, for the fundamental bias for a pair should already baked in your mindset for any currency pair you trade. For the currency strength/weakness I stare at the dashboard 12-15 hours a day so I am always trying to keep a pulse on what's going or shifts so that's not really a factor when I want to enter as I would not look to enter if I felt the market was shifting against me. Then the higher timeframe analysis had already happened when I woke up, so it was a game of "Stare at the 5 min chart until the price does something interesting"
Trade Example: Today , I went long EUUSD long bias when I first looked at the chart after waking up around 9-10pm Eastern. Fortunately, the first large drop had already happened so I had a easy baseline price movement to work with. I then used tool for currency strength/weakness monitoring, Pivot Points, and bearish divergence detected using Stochastic RSI and Relative Vigor Index.
I first noticed Bearish Divergence on the 1hr time frame using the Stochastic RSI and got confirmation intra day on the 5 min time frame with the Relative Vigor Index. I ended up buying the second mini dip around midnight Eastern because it was already dancing along the pivot point that the price had been dancing along since the big drop below the pivot point and dipped below it and then shortly closed back above it. I put a stop loss below the first large dip. With a TP goal of the middle point pivot line
Then I waited for confirmation or invalidation of my trade. I ended up getting confirmation with Bearish Divergence from the second large dip so I tightened up my stop to below that smaller drip and waited for the London open. Not only was it not a lower low, I could see the divergence with the Relative Vigor Index.
It then ran into London and kept going with tons of momentum. Blew past my TP target so I let it run to see where the momentum stopped. Ended up TP'ing at the Pivot Point support/resistance above the middle pivot line.
Random Note: The Asian session has its own unique price action characteristics that happen regularly enough that you can easily trade them when they happen with high degrees of success. It takes time to learn them all and confidently trade them as its happening. If you trade Asia you should learn to recognize them as they can fake you out if you do not understand what's going on.

TL;DR At the end of the day there is no magic solution that just works. You have to find out what works for you and then what people say works for them. Test it out and see if it works for you or if you can adapt it to work for you. If it does not work or your just not interested then ignore it.
At the end of the day, you have to use your brain to make correct trading decisions. Blindly following indicators may work sometimes in certain market conditions, but trading with information you don't understand can burn you just as easily as help you. Its like playing with fire. So, get out there and grind it out. It will either click or it wont. Not everyone has the mindset or is capable of changing to be a successful trader. Trading is gambling, you do all this work to get a edge on the house. Trading without the edge or an edge you understand how to use will only leave your broker happy in the end.
submitted by marcusrider to Forex [link] [comments]

Former investment bank FX trader: News trading and second order thinking part 2/2

Former investment bank FX trader: News trading and second order thinking part 2/2
Thanks for all the upvotes and comments on the previous pieces:
From the first half of the news trading note we learned some ways to estimate what is priced in by the market. We learned that we are trading any gap in market expectations rather than the result itself. A good result when the market expected a fantastic result is disappointing! We also looked at second order thinking. After all that, I hope the reaction of prices to events is starting to make more sense to you.

Before you understand the core concepts of pricing in and second order thinking, price reactions to events can seem mystifying at times
We'll add one thought-provoking quote. Keynes (that rare economist who also managed institutional money) offered this analogy. He compared selecting investments to a beauty contest in which newspaper readers would write in with their votes and win a prize if their votes most closely matched the six most popularly selected women across all readers:
It is not a case of choosing those (faces) which, to the best of one’s judgment, are really the prettiest, nor even those which average opinions genuinely thinks the prettiest. We have reached the third degree where we devote our intelligences to anticipating what average opinion expects the average opinion to be.
Trading is no different. You are trying to anticipate how other traders will react to news and how that will move prices. Perhaps you disagree with their reaction. Still, if you can anticipate what it will be you would be sensible to act upon it. Don't forget: meanwhile they are also trying to anticipate what you and everyone else will do.

Part II
  • Preparing for quantitative and qualitative releases
  • Data surprise index
  • Using recent events to predict future reactions
  • Buy the rumour, sell the fact
  • The trimming position effect
  • Reversals
  • Some key FX releases

Preparing for quantitative and qualitative releases

The majority of releases are quantitative. All that means is there’s some number. Like unemployment figures or GDP.
Historic results provide interesting context. We are looking below the Australian unemployment rate which is released monthly. If you plot it out a few years back you can spot a clear trend, which got massively reversed. Knowing this trend gives you additional information when the figure is released. In the same way prices can trend so do economic data.

A great resource that's totally free to use
This makes sense: if for example things are getting steadily better in the economy you’d expect to see unemployment steadily going down.
Knowing the trend and how much noise there is in the data gives you an informational edge over lazy traders.
For example, when we see the spike above 6% on the above you’d instantly know it was crazy and a huge trading opportunity since a) the fluctuations month on month are normally tiny and b) it is a huge reversal of the long-term trend.
Would all the other AUDUSD traders know and react proportionately? If not and yet they still trade, their laziness may be an opportunity for more informed traders to make some money.
Tradingeconomics.com offers really high quality analysis. You can see all the major indicators for each country. Clicking them brings up their history as well as an explanation of what they show.
For example, here’s German Consumer Confidence.

Helpful context
There are also qualitative events. Normally these are speeches by Central Bankers.
There are whole blogs dedicated to closely reading such texts and looking for subtle changes in direction or opinion on the economy. Stuff like how often does the phrase "in a good place" come up when the Chair of the Fed speaks. It is pretty dry stuff. Yet these are leading indicators of how each member may vote to set interest rates. Ed Yardeni is the go-to guy on central banks.

Data surprise index

The other thing you might look at is something investment banks produce for their customers. A data surprise index. I am not sure if these are available in retail land - there's no reason they shouldn't be but the economic calendars online are very basic.
You’ll remember we talked about data not being good or bad of itself but good or bad relative to what was expected. These indices measure this difference.
If results are consistently better than analysts expect then you’ll see a positive number. If they are consistently worse than analysts expect a negative number. You can see they tend to swing from positive to negative.

Mean reversion at its best! Data surprise indices measure how much better or worse data came in vs forecast
There are many theories for this but in general people consider that analysts herd around the consensus. They are scared to be outliers and look ‘wrong’ or ‘stupid’ so they instead place estimates close to the pack of their peers.
When economic conditions change they may therefore be slow to update. When they are wrong consistently - say too bearish - they eventually flip the other way and become too bullish.
These charts can be interesting to give you an idea of how the recent data releases have been versus market expectations. You may try to spot the turning points in macroeconomic data that drive long term currency prices and trends.

Using recent events to predict future reactions

The market reaction function is the most important thing on an economic calendar in many ways. It means: what will happen to the price if the data is better or worse than the market expects?
That seems easy to answer but it is not.
Consider the example of consumer confidence we had earlier.
  • Many times the market will shrug and ignore it.
  • But when the economic recovery is predicated on a strong consumer it may move markets a lot.
Or consider the S&P index of US stocks (Wall Street).
  • If you get good economic data that beats analyst estimates surely it should go up? Well, sometimes that is certainly the case.
  • But good economic data might result in the US Central Bank raising interest rates. Raising interest rates will generally make the stock market go down!
So better than expected data could make the S&P go up (“the economy is great”) or down (“the Fed is more likely to raise rates”). It depends. The market can interpret the same data totally differently at different times.
One clue is to look at what happened to the price of risk assets at the last event.
For example, let’s say we looked at unemployment and it came in a lot worse than forecast last month. What happened to the S&P back then?

2% drop last time on a 'worse than expected' number ... so it it is 'better than expected' best guess is we rally 2% higher
So this tells us that - at least for our most recent event - the S&P moved 2% lower on a far worse than expected number. This gives us some guidance as to what it might do next time and the direction. Bad number = lower S&P. For a huge surprise 2% is the size of move we’d expect.
Again - this is a real limitation of online calendars. They should show next to the historic results (expected/actual) the reaction of various instruments.

Buy the rumour, sell the fact

A final example of an unpredictable reaction relates to the old rule of ‘Buy the rumour, sell the fact.’ This captures the tendency for markets to anticipate events and then reverse when they occur.

Buy the rumour, sell the fact
In short: people take profit and close their positions when what they expected to happen is confirmed.
So we have to decide which driver is most important to the market at any point in time. You obviously cannot ask every participant. The best way to do it is to look at what happened recently. Look at the price action during recent releases and you will get a feel for how much the market moves and in which direction.

Trimming or taking off positions

One thing to note is that events sometimes give smart participants information about positioning. This is because many traders take off or reduce positions ahead of big news events for risk management purposes.
Imagine we see GBPUSD rises in the hour before GDP release. That probably indicates the market is short and has taken off / flattened its positions.

The price action before an event can tell you about speculative positioning
If GDP is merely in line with expectations those same people are likely to add back their positions. They avoided a potential banana skin. This is why sometimes the market moves on an event that seemingly was bang on consensus.
But you have learned something. The speculative market is short and may prove vulnerable to a squeeze.

Two kinds of reversals

Fairly often you’ll see the market move in one direction on a release then turn around and go the other way.
These are known as reversals. Traders will often ‘fade’ a move, meaning bet against it and expect it to reverse.

Logical reversals

Sometimes this happens when the data looks good at first glance but the details don’t support it.
For example, say the headline is very bullish on German manufacturing numbers but then a minute later it becomes clear the company who releases the data has changed methodology or believes the number is driven by a one-off event. Or maybe the headline number is positive but buried in the detail there is a very negative revision to previous numbers.
Fading the initial spike is one way to trade news. Try looking at what the price action is one minute after the event and thirty minutes afterwards on historic releases.

Crazy reversals


Some reversals don't make sense
Sometimes a reversal happens for seemingly no fundamental reason. Say you get clearly positive news that is better than anyone expects. There are no caveats to the positive number. Yet the price briefly spikes up and then falls hard. What on earth?
This is a pure supply and demand thing. Even on bullish news the market cannot sustain a rally. The market is telling you it wants to sell this asset. Try not to get in its way.

Some key releases

As we have already discussed, different releases are important at different times. However, we’ll look at some consistently important ones in this final section.

Interest rates decisions

These can sometimes be unscheduled. However, normally the decisions are announced monthly. The exact process varies for each central bank. Typically there’s a headline decision e.g. maintain 0.75% rate.
You may also see “minutes” of the meeting in which the decision was reached and a vote tally e.g. 7 for maintain, 2 for lower rates. These are always top-tier data releases and have capacity to move the currency a lot.
A hawkish central bank (higher rates) will tend to move a currency higher whilst a dovish central bank (lower rates) will tend to move a currency lower.
A central banker speaking is always a big event

Non farm payrolls

These are released once per month. This is another top-tier release that will move all USD pairs as well as equities.
There are three numbers:
  • The headline number of jobs created (bigger is better)
  • The unemployment rate (smaller is better)
  • Average hourly earnings (depends)
Bear in mind these headline numbers are often off by around 75,000. If a report comes in +/- 25,000 of the forecast, that is probably a non event.
In general a positive response should move the USD higher but check recent price action.
Other countries each have their own unemployment data releases but this is the single most important release.

Surveys

There are various types of surveys: consumer confidence; house price expectations; purchasing managers index etc.
Each one basically asks a group of people if they expect to make more purchases or activity in their area of expertise to rise. There are so many we won’t go into each one here.
A really useful tool is the tradingeconomics.com economic indicators for each country. You can see all the major indicators and an explanation of each plus the historic results.

GDP

Gross Domestic Product is another big release. It is a measure of how much a country’s economy is growing.
In general the market focuses more on ‘advance’ GDP forecasts more than ‘final’ numbers, which are often released at the same time.
This is because the final figures are accurate but by the time they come around the market has already seen all the inputs. The advance figure tends to be less accurate but incorporates new information that the market may not have known before the release.
In general a strong GDP number is good for the domestic currency.

Inflation

Countries tend to release measures of inflation (increase in prices) each month. These releases are important mainly because they may influence the future decisions of the central bank, when setting the interest rate.
See the FX fundamentals section for more details.

Industrial data

Things like factory orders or or inventory levels. These can provide a leading indicator of the strength of the economy.
These numbers can be extremely volatile. This is because a one-off large order can drive the numbers well outside usual levels.
Pay careful attention to previous releases so you have a sense of how noisy each release is and what kind of moves might be expected.

Comments

Often there is really good stuff in the comments/replies. Check out 'squitstoomuch' for some excellent observations on why some news sources are noisy but early (think: Twitter, ZeroHedge). The Softbank story is a good recent example: was in ZeroHedge a day before the FT but the market moved on the FT. Also an interesting comment on mistakes, which definitely happen on breaking news, and can cause massive reversals.

submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]

What is Extons?

EXTONS is a Cryptocurrency Exchange That Supports A Wide Variety Of Crypto Assets For Trading Activity. This Is Thisoption’s Five Ecosystems Slated To Launch For Traders All Around The Globe. Its A Centralized Cryptocurrency Exchange Which Is Part Of The Thisoption Ecosystem And Technology. It Supports Multiple Payment Systems With Fiat And Crypto Assets And Kyc Is Required To Use The Service Of This Platform. This Platform Is Founded In June 2020. Extons Is A Good Binary Market For Forex, Stocks And Good Crypto Trading, With Excellent Security For The Convenience Of Member Users, Extons Introduces Multi-currency Support. Continues To Introduce And Register Quality Digital Currencies Across The Country, Providing Users With Various Types Of Transaction Services And Most Digital Currencies. Extons Presentations Provide 24-hour Non-stop Online User Services To Ensure That Users Operate Smoothly With Transactions, Not Inferior To Other Large Markets.
👉 Business Model : Supports A Wide Range Of Crypto Assets Major Cryptocurrency Pair And Their Trading Activity Are Available In The Exchange. This Service Is Quite Big But Very Simple. Traders From All Around The Globe Will Be Able To Use This Platform And Be Part Of The Potential Growth Of This Ecosystem. Already Listed Major Crypto Assets And More Is One The Way.
👉 Multi-currencey Support: Quality Cryptocurrencies From All Around The Globe Are Constantly Introduced And Listed To Provide Users With Variety Transactions Services In Most Digital Assets.
👉 Best user Experience : The Exchange Interface Is Userfriendly And Smooth. It Is Important To Give The User The Best Trading Experience With The Markets. There Is Customer Support Online 24/7 For The Trader’s Assistance. This Will Ensure All The Transactions Will Pass Smoothly.
👉 Liquidity : Liquidity Is Also A Major Factor That Many Exchanges Failed To Achieve. Without Enough Liquidity, The Trader Will Not Be Able To Use This Platform With Ease. Liquidity Will Be Brought Over 250 Market Parameters With Advanced Technology And Infrastructure.
👉 Security : A Multi-model Structure Will Make The Most Important Thing Possible And That Is Its Security. With The Best Front End And Back End Designs With The Multi-model Design, A Stable Trading Operation Will Be Provided To The Customers. There Is Multiple Security Layers Have Been Taken To Prevent Any Hacking Activity And Market Manipulations.
👉 Conclusion : A Cryptocurrency Is An Enormous Place And One Of The Fastest-growing Financial Industries. There Are Over 300 Operating Exchange And Still, Most Of Them Provide Enough Liquidity To The Markets. Extons Can Be A Safe Place For Traders All Over The World. With Its Wide Range Of Services, It Can Attract Traders And Investors To Its Ecosystem.
👉 THISOPTION Ecosystem : Thisoption is a Product Of The Thisoption Limited On Trons Network. It Was Founded In 2016 With It’s Headquarter In 926 Adelaide Street, Toronto.
👉 Advantages Of THISOPTION : Diverse Trading Assetshigh Levels Of Securityquick Deposits And Withdrawalsmultiple Payment Gatewates24 Hours Supportavailability Of Copy Trading Tools.
👉 TONS Token : Tons is Used As A Payment Method In The Thisoption’s Ecosystem Issued By Thisoption Limited On The TRON Network. It Is A Trc-20 Token Type.
👉 TRC-20 : This is a Technical Standard Used For Smart Contracts On Ethereum Block Chain When Issuing Token.
submitted by MaynulHoqueMH to u/MaynulHoqueMH [link] [comments]

Education and training in trading are not needed: False - By Mickael Mosse

By Mickael Mosse - Blockchain and Cryptocurrency Expert
Trading now is a common word in the financial field. But its meaning has myths and assumptions around it, viewing trading as an easy way to make money.
Mickael Mosse sees traders as professionals in the crypto world, and their practice as a great option to use cryptos.

Trading is the opposite of investment because it aims to short-term goals following multiple market strategies enveloped by buy-and-hold timing. Its success as a financial profession depends on the ability to be profitable over time.
Now, traders can trade with assets like commodities or with cryptos; we will talk about the second one. Crypto trading could be:
Read more details of these crypto trading options here. What is cryptocurrency trading, and how does it work? by IG

Let’s demystify the next myth about crypto trading by Mickael Mosse’s explanations.
Education and training in trading are not needed; it is just a random thing.
FALSE
Begining to spend money without a formal education process in trading is a common way to lose your funds and blame the market.
There is a common belief that trading is a matter of luck. Still, the reality is that you must study theory to understand its bases and then go to practice in demo accounts before launch to the real market.
According to Mickael Mosse, it is essential to train your trading skills if you want a profit instead of losses, building a trading plan from the knowledge and not assumptions.

A key to start by Mickael Mosse: You could find education tools on broker websites; you can use them to begin theoretical training. A broker is an online platform intermediary between the trader and the market.
The market for trading with currencies is called Forex, the most liquid globally, with no centralized location. Instead, it is a digital network of financial agents such as banks, brokers, traders, and institutions.
SOURCE : https://entrepreneursbreak.com/education-and-training-in-trading-are-not-needed-false.html
_____ FOLLOW MICKAEL MOSSE ON SOCIAL NETWORK’s:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MosseMickael
Medium: medium.com/@mickaelmosse
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/mickael.mosse.39
Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/useAccurate-Gap-8536
Pinterest: https://www.pinterest.com/mickaelmosse1/
Youtube : https://youtube.com/channel/UC1QAiUoz-Il-P1lhmUEvvvg
Ted : https://www.ted.com/profiles/23747131
submitted by williamsouza10 to u/williamsouza10 [link] [comments]

Education and training in trading are not needed: False - By Mickael Mosse

By: Mickael Mosse - Blockchain and Cryptocurrency Expert
Trading now is a common word in the financial field. But its meaning has myths and assumptions around it, viewing trading as an easy way to make money.
Mickael Mosse sees traders as professionals in the crypto world, and their practice as a great option to use cryptos.
📷
Trading is the opposite of investment because it aims to short-term goals following multiple market strategies enveloped by buy-and-hold timing. Its success as a financial profession depends on the ability to be profitable over time.
Now, traders can trade with assets like commodities or with cryptos; we will talk about the second one. Crypto trading could be:
Read more details of these crypto trading options here. What is cryptocurrency trading, and how does it work? by IG
Let’s demystify the next myth about crypto trading by Mickael Mosse’s explanations.
Education and training in trading are not needed; it is just a random thing.

FALSE

Begining to spend money without a formal education process in trading is a common way to lose your funds and blame the market.
There is a common belief that trading is a matter of luck. Still, the reality is that you must study theory to understand its bases and then go to practice in demo accounts before launch to the real market.
According to Mickael Mosse, it is essential to train your trading skills if you want a profit instead of losses, building a trading plan from the knowledge and not assumptions.
A key to start by Mickael Mosse: You could find education tools on broker websites; you can use them to begin theoretical training. A broker is an online platform intermediary between the trader and the market.
The market for trading with currencies is called Forex, the most liquid globally, with no centralized location. Instead, it is a digital network of financial agents such as banks, brokers, traders, and institutions.
SOURCE : https://entrepreneursbreak.com/education-and-training-in-trading-are-not-needed-false.html
_____ FOLLOW MICKAEL MOSSE ON SOCIAL NETWORK’s:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MosseMickael
Medium: medium.com/@mickaelmosse
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/mickael.mosse.39
Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/useAccurate-Gap-8536
Pinterest: https://www.pinterest.com/mickaelmosse1/
Youtube : https://youtube.com/channel/UC1QAiUoz-Il-P1lhmUEvvvg
Ted : https://www.ted.com/profiles/23747131
submitted by Accurate-Gap-8536 to u/Accurate-Gap-8536 [link] [comments]

BrokerXP Reviews

BrokerXP Reviews

My perspective of How BrokerXP review help me and how can help you also.

In this review, we are taking a look at a trading platform that is used by traders all around the world. BrokerXP offers a varied range of financial products with competitive fees and an easy-to-use trading interface.
With advanced trading tools and charting features.

BrokerXP Slogan

BrokerXP Fees

If trading fees are important to you, then BrokerXP has you covered. BrokerXP offers low spreads that are available to all customers. For forex traders, BrokerXP has no fees at all, this means that you can maximize profits when trading currency pairs. The broker also offers a guaranteed stop-loss order which Is when clients get their stop-loss order rate guaranteed when setting a risk threshold in their position. BrokerXP also offers a 200:1 leverage ratio, which means that for every $1 in your account, you control $200 in the market. So if you are trading and don’t have much capital, you can still generate significant income as your profits can be multiplied by 200x. However, if you are a beginner then it is not advised that you use leverage on your trades. As profits are multiplied, so are losses. Before leveraging, learn the basics and trade using a demo account as this can stop you from losing too much money when you start trading actual capital.

BrokerXP Security

MT4 and BrokerXP have end-to-end encryption that secures trades and funds that are within the trading account itself. Imagine your trading account like a debit card, you wouldn’t put thousands of dollars in your debit card and leave it on a park bench. So when choosing what trading platform you want to go with, make sure that they take the security of your account and funds are serious as you do.
To find more answers please watch this video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VyMdFz8Rh18

BrokerXP MT4

MetaTrader 4 is seen as the flagship trading platform, used by individual traders at home and large institutional investors alike. The platform is available on iPads, iPhones, Android phones, Android tablets, and just about any other web-enabled device. If you want to use the desktop version, instead of the web-app version, then you can download the desktop version and trade from the version. Once you’ve downloaded or loaded the platform, you can log in using your BrokerXP credentials. You can customize the charting interface, changing between light and dark mode, along with some other interface elements. Like with most online platforms, the security flaws come as a result of the customer not securing their side of things. This means that when you are trading, make sure to use long passwords that are difficult to guess and crack. Also, try and avoid trading on public computers as these can lead to your account being compromised.
On MT4 you will notice some phrases on the trading interface, here is some explanation of what they mean. When you see the Symbol tab, this means that you can choose between markets. BrokerXP offers many different trading asset options. You can trade forex, gold, stocks indices, and more. The volume tab is where you decide on your trading size. When you see 1 lot, this is equal to 100,000 units of the base currency. The Type tab is where you decide on your trade execution mode, we advise that you stick to ‘instant execution’ as this will place a trade as soon as your press ‘buy’ or ‘sell’. If you set a ‘pending order’, then the platform will make the trade when the market opens back up. The forex market is open 24/7, so this execution method will rarely be available. Stop-loss is another term that you may see on the MT4 interface, this means that your trades are exited when your profits hit a predetermined point.
Depending on what type of trader you are, the platform will offer you a specific set of charting timeframes that best suit you. For example, if you are day trading you may look at charts on a 10-minute timeframe. MT4 offers charting timeframes for 1 minute, 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 15 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours, 1 day, and 1 month. You can also set custom timeframes in case the standard ones are not suitable for your trading technique.
Along with advanced timeframes, MT4 also offers 30 technical indicators such as the Elliot Wave indicator, Bollinger Bands, and pivot points, along with many more. There are also third-party add-ons that can be integrated with the platform in order to customize your interface further. Add-ons like Stealth Orders and Alarm Manager are two of the most popular addons. The first is an extension, Stealth Orders is designed to anonymize trades, with Alarm Manager helping coordinate alerts and notifications. With MT4, you can also create your own extensions using Java API, which is one of the platforms most advantageous features, as it can make everything unique.

BrokerXP Mobile Trading

The MetaTrader 4 mobile app is designed with the main focus being on ease-of-use. The mobile app is packaged with lots of research tools, advanced charts, and watch lists for scanning, with many more features.
When using BrokerXP’s mobile trading app (MT4), the look and feel of the mobile app have the same appearance as the web version. This means that if you know to operate the web-based platform, then the mobile app will be easy for you to grasp. With charting, you are given the same charts that are offered on the web app. However, due to the mobile screen being smaller, carrying out advanced forex analysis may be more difficult on mobile devices. But for making orders, setting stop loss or checking basic tasks, the mobile app is more than capable of doing so. The main benefit of using the mobile app is that you can make trades on the go. You no longer have to be at your computer or office in order to set trades. Let’s say that you make a trade at home then go grocery shopping. Whilst you are out you realize that you didn’t set stop-loss in your rush and your pair is depreciating when you check. Now, you can use your mobile to exit a position immediately, you don’t need to wait until you get home.

BrokerXP Customer Service

BrokerXP has a great dedicated customer service team, they are very professional and offer solutions to all of the problems that you could present them with. If you are a new trader, then you may encounter some problems when trying to get to grips with a new trading platform, so BrokerXP offers extensive educational resources. These educational resources are designed to help people familiarise themselves with the platform and all of the financial assets that are available to be traded on the BrokerXP platform. The MT4 platform also has a customer support team that is able to deal with any questions or issues that you are having on the trading side of things. MT4 also has a community section for traders, where questions about trading can get answered. A community forum is a great place for you to get tips about trading and non-essential things that the customer support team may not need to answer.
For customer service, you could read here and on this link.
To conclude, BrokerXP is one of the best choices for financial asset trading available.
Their low fees and advanced features make it perfect for beginners and pros alike.
For more reviews, you should visit official reviews on the website, Trustpilot and Sitejabber.
We highly suggest visiting also on Patch following links for more info and updated news
https://patch.com/california/los-angeles/calendaevent/20200929/898131/brokerxp-reviews-are-happening
https://patch.com/california/los-angeles/classifieds/announcements/171418/brokerxp-is-having-own-reviews-in-pacific-palisades
submitted by vds_private_server to brokerxpreviewers [link] [comments]

Why a Live Forex Chart is important For Traders

There are two common theories as far as live forex charts are concerned: The first is by the many forex traders who believe that live forex charts can never be used to win in a forex trade simply because they rely on demand and supply fundamentals. On the other hand, some investors believe that live forex graphs are a mirror reflection to a human mind; they are constant but prices can be predicted. Which is a fact and which is not? Forex Brokers Reviews
The truth is that live currency graphs work and deliver results. There is however one common misconception that must be cleared even before we get into how live currency charts work. Contrary to common belief, live charts are not used as tools to predict future variations in pair prices. The truth is that unlike scientific theories, prices are not determined by fixed aspects. If this was the case, live charts would be very predictable, and there would be no point in trade in foreign exchange, would there? This, however, does not mean that live charts are not useful to the foreign exchange trade. As a matter of fact, live forex tables are some of the most important tools in use in foreign exchange trading. Combined with technical analysis, live currency graphs can be some of the most valuable assets an exchange trader can have in the business.
With the help of live forex charts, you can know the moving averages and when the price has gone above or below. Day trading does not require much analysis apart from some real time history of price movements. It is a vital tool in a seasoned trader's toolbox and the newbie simply cannot do without it. Getting technical indicators upfront in real time has come as a big boon to online forex traders coast to coast. forex broker review
With live charts you can identify when the market has entered an overbought zone with the help of RSI. To enter and exit a trade and also for working on multiple indicators, you need live charts to guide you through. If two indicators like the RSI and MACD indicate buy signals, then you could buy and forex market requires taking decisions in a flash. To make profits and keep losses to the minimum, use forex live chart.
The live forex chart is a lifeline for the day trader wanting to close positions within a matter of a few minutes or hours. Usually a long term investor in the forex market does not need live charts, but day traders require keeping tabs on price changes by the minute. Top Rated Forex Brokers
Traders depend solely on the chart prices to plan their moves and they have to be real time stuff to be of any use. Depending on what type of trade you would be doing, you should select the right software for viewing forex charts. You can monitor every single move the currency pair makes as well as keep track of technical indicators.
Visit Here - Most Trusted forex brokers
submitted by Sure_Statistician384 to u/Sure_Statistician384 [link] [comments]

Weekly Wrap: This Week In Chainlink July 20 - July 26

Weekly Wrap: This Week In Chainlink July 20 - July 26. What a week! Check out this weekly wrap-up of all that has been accomplished in the Chainlink community.

Announcements and Integrations 🎉

SmartCon will feature the top minds and builders of smart contracts and celebrate our incredible community, thriving ecosystem & cutting-edge research. Experience a mix of keynotes, panel discussions, live demos, developer workshops, and networking with the community. We made registration complimentary so everyone can participate.

We’re thrilled to welcome DeutscheTelekom’s TSystems_MMS IT Services group to Chainlink. Tsystemscom’s world-class infrastructure team secures a large amount of enterprise value today & is now on mainnet helping secure Chainlink’s oracle network.

Top Korean banks: Hana Bank, Shinhan Bank, Nonghyup Bank, and Industrial Bank of Korea select Chainlink and CenterPrime to bring their forex data on-chain, transforming the capabilities of open banking services, fintech and DeFi.

Binance Smart Chain has integrated Chainlink as its oracle live on testnet! Using Chainlink gives devs access to off-chain data (e.g. Binance_DEX), enabling them to build DeFi dApps for derivatives, crypto payments, automated asset management and more.

Reflexer (@MetaCoinProject) has successfully integrated Chainlink's ETH/USD Price Reference Data as the basis for collateralization checks on their first Generalized Ethereum Bond (reflex bond) RAI—a low volatility, trust minimized collateral for DeFi.

Blockchain-based e-document solution @FirmaChain is integrating Chainlink to create more seamless digital contracts. For example, car rental contracts using Chainlink to validate driver licenses within the signature process for better customer experience.

Blockchain platform Elastos blockchain is launching a Chainlink-powered ELA/USD Price Reference Data feed to use for collateralization checks on its upcoming cross-chain stablecoin. This is one of many advanced dApps possible on Elastos using real-world data.

TinyboxesETH is using ChainlinkVRF to create Tiny Boxes, randomized & animated generative art pieces that, from creation to curation, exist fully on-chain for collectors to enjoy. They will also use Chainlink price oracles for minting pieces w/ crypto.

Chainlink's ENJ/ETH Price Reference Feed is live on mainnet! Gaming developers can use this reliable price feed when minting or exchanging Enjin-based digital assets.

Chainlink's REN/ETH Price Reference Feed is live on mainnet. DeFi developers utilizing REN in their dApp now have access to a secure and reliable price oracle. This is just one of many Chainlink oracles available today.

Featured Videos & Educational Pieces 🎥

Join the MCDEX team and Chainlink for a video Q&A is with Gareth the DaoChemist (https://twitter.com/daochemist), Head of Business Development of MCDEX. The discussion will be centered on MCDEX integration with Chainlink and a deep-dive into MCDEX's launch of liquidity mining.

Join the Vite Labs team and Chainlink for a video Q&A is with Richard Yan, the Co-founder, and COO of Vite Labs. The discussion will be centered on 1) Why ViteX has better performance than other DEXs, 2) ViteX's approach to trans and liquidity mining where the coins earned entitle users to proceeds from the exchange, 3) Future plans for ViteX.

Watch this community workshop featuring an AMA with LinkPool’s head of business development, Ian Read. In the video, they discuss the future roadmap for LinkPool, how to become a node operator, and best practices for running a node.

Ecosystem & Community Celebrations 👏

Upcoming Events 📅

Are you interested in hosting your own meetup? Apply to become a Chainlink Community Advocate today: https://events.chain.link/advocate

SmartContract is hiring to build Chainlink’s network: Check out these open roles 👩‍💼

View all open roles at https://careers.smartcontract.com
submitted by linkedkeenan to Chainlink [link] [comments]

latest exchange rate dollar to rupee.

https://currencyconverterlive.com
Currency conversion calculators are calculated using current market rates. Unlike any calculator, this type of calculator needs to be updated regularly. The currency conversion calculator contains most of the time between 80 and 85 currencies, showing conversions in those currencies.

This type of calculator is a useful tool if you want to buy goods or services in foreign currency. This calculator will tell you how much you pay in currency. Many online merchants who have their own website add online currency converters, especially if they trade internationally. Of course, a currency conversion calculator will help a person to make transactions in more than one currency.

Most transformers are designed differently. Some performance results, others appear different in the sample table. However, the logic is similar and means that a person is shown an amount equal to the second currency. These calculators allow you to enter an amount that indicates the currency, and it will ask you to select the currency you want to compare. There is usually a button labeled "Convert" or "Calculate" or something like this effect, you can click on it to get the value.

This is not difficult to achieve. All you have to do is connect to the internet and use the search engine tools. Then you can simply enter the keyword "currency converter calculator" and there is a wide selection from which you can choose. There are some built-in programs on the same site, some of which can be downloaded to your computer. However, if it is a program that should be downloaded to your computer, you should have access to the Internet to regularly update prices. The currency converter calculator has tools that you can download from the Internet and update. If you like to use your mobile phone, you can have fun and easily download and install the currency conversion calculator application. If you are familiar with MS Excel and want to customize the converter, you can create a calculator from it. There are online lessons and step by step instructions on how to set up.

These things make things easier for everyone. You do not need to visit the Forex trading site or sites that have current market price tables to clear the required currencies. With a currency converter, all you have to do is enter the amount, select the currency you want to compare, and click on the account. The cash equivalent will show you the amount you entered from the first currency to the second, and at the same time give you details of the amount equal to the unit of each currency.
submitted by scootersleuth to u/scootersleuth [link] [comments]

Forex Trading - Getting Started

Forex Trading: a Beginner's Guide
The forex market is the world's largest international currency trading market operating non-stop during the working week. Most forex trading is done by professionals such as bankers. Generally forex trading is done through a forex broker - but there is nothing to stop anyone trading currencies. Forex currency trading allows buyers and sellers to buy the currency they need for their business and sellers who have earned currency to exchange what they have for a more convenient currency. The world's largest banks dominate forex and according to a survey in The Wall Street Journal Europe, the ten most active traders who are engaged in forex trading account for almost 73% of trading volume.
However, a sizeable proportion of the remainder of forex trading is speculative with traders building up an investment which they wish to liquidate at some stage for profit. While a currency may increase or decrease in value relative to a wide range of currencies, all forex trading transactions are based upon currency pairs. So, although the Euro may be 'strong' against a basket of currencies, traders will be trading in just one currency pair and may simply concern themselves with the Euro/US Dollar ( EUUSD) ratio. Changes in relative values of currencies may be gradual or triggered by specific events such as are unfolding at the time of writing this - the toxic debt crisis.
Because the markets for currencies are global, the volumes traded every day are vast. For the large corporate investors, the great benefits of trading on Forex are:

From the point of view of the smaller trader there's lots of benefits too, such as:

How the forex Market Works
As forex is all about foreign exchange, all transactions are made up from a currency pair - say, for instance, the Euro and the US Dollar. The basic tool for trading forex is the exchange rate which is expressed as a ratio between the values of the two currencies such as EUUSD = 1.4086. This value, which is referred to as the 'forex rate' means that, at that particular time, one Euro would be worth 1.4086 US Dollars. This ratio is always expressed to 4 decimal places which means that you could see a forex rate of EUUSD = 1.4086 or EUUSD = 1.4087 but never EUUSD = 1.40865. The rightmost digit of this ratio is referred to as a 'pip'. So, a change from EUUSD = 1.4086 to EUUSD = 1.4088 would be referred to as a change of 2 pips. One pip, therefore is the smallest unit of trade.
With the forex rate at EUUSD = 1.4086, an investor purchasing 1000 Euros using dollars would pay $1,408.60. If the forex rate then changed to EUUSD = 1.5020, the investor could sell their 1000 Euros for $1,502.00 and bank the $93.40 as profit. If this doesn't seem to be large amount to you, you have to put the sum into context. With a rising or falling market, the forex rate does not simply change in a uniform way but oscillates and profits can be taken many times per day as a rate oscillates around a trend.
When you're expecting the value EUUSD to fall, you might trade the other way by selling Euros for dollars and buying then back when the forex rate has changed to your advantage.
Is forex Risky?
When you trade on forex as in any form of currency trading, you're in the business of currency speculation and it is just that - speculation. This means that there is some risk involved in forex currency trading as in any business but you might and should, take steps to minimise this. You can always set a limit to the downside of any trade, that means to define the maximum loss that you are prepared to accept if the market goes against you - and it will on occasions.
The best insurance against losing your shirt on the forex market is to set out to understand what you're doing totally. Search the internet for a good forex trading tutorial and study it in detail- a bit of good forex education can go a long way!. When there's bits you don't understand, look for a good forex trading forum and ask lots and lots of questions. Many of the people who habitually answer your queries on this will have a good forex trading blog and this will probably not only give you answers to your questions but also provide lots of links to good sites. Be vigilant, however, watch out for forex trading scams. Don't be too quick to part with your money and investigate anything very well before you shell out any hard-earned!
The forex Trading Systems
While you may be right in being cautious about any forex trading system that's advertised, there are some good ones around. Most of them either utilise forex charts and by means of these, identify forex trading signals which tell the trader when to buy or sell. These signals will be made up of a particular change in a forex rate or a trend and these will have been devised by a forex trader who has studied long-term trends in the market so as to identify valid signals when they occur. Many of the systems will use forex trading software which identifies such signals from data inputs which are gathered automatically from market information sources. Some utilise automated forex trading software which can trigger trades automatically when the signals tell it to do so. If these sound too good to be true to you, look around for online forex trading systems which will allow you undertake some dummy trading to test them out. by doing this you can get some forex trading training by giving them a spin before you put real money on the table.
How Much do you Need to Start off with?
This is a bit of a 'How long is a piece of string?' question but there are ways for to be beginner to dip a toe into the water without needing a fortune to start with. The minimum trading size for most trades on forex is usually 100,000 units of any currency and this volume is referred to as a standard "lot". However, there are many firms which offer the facility to purchase in dramatically-smaller lots than this and a bit of internet searching will soon locate these. There's many adverts quoting only a couple of hundred dollars to get going! You will often see the term acciones trading forex and this is just a general term which covers the small guy trading forex. Small-scale trading facilities such as these are often called as forex mini trading.
Where do You Start?
The single most obvious answer is of course - on the internet! Online forex trading gives you direct access to the forex market and there's lots and lots of companies out there who are in business just to deal with you online. Be vigilant, do spend the time to get some good forex trading education, again this can be provided online and set up your dummy account to trade before you attempt to go live. If you take care and take your time, there's no reason why you shouldn't be successful in forex trading so, have patience and stick at it!
submitted by Ozone21337 to WallstreetForexRobotf [link] [comments]

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submitted by GiuliettaShop to Popify [link] [comments]

YOUTUBE VIDEO - Three Important Forex Trading Guidelines For Winning Trades

YOUTUBE VIDEO - Three Important Forex Trading Guidelines For Winning Trades
This Youtube video will give forex traders explanations of why cash versus online trades are the same, why currency pairs move, and how to analyze individual currencies, instead of technical indicators, for a complete view. Resources and tools included. Here is the video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HWSMyhLgRbc&t=2s
You can follow along with the illustrated article here:
https://www.forexearlywarning.com/blog/2013/10/02/forex-trading-guidelines/

https://preview.redd.it/vm16p84utk051.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d9322f8a29b6633544d1d59b30b8476369a9214
submitted by forexalerts to u/forexalerts [link] [comments]

I'm begging Reddit for help, real ACTUAL help. I'm dead in 10 hours. Let's see what Reddit(ers) can do.

As title says, I'm dead. This is a final notification from this reddit here: https://www.reddit.com/SuicideWatch/comments/f5sajn/suicide_is_not_selfish_depending_on_circumstance/ I deleted the original post so just get the context there. But to briefly summarize, I'm 26, US american studying abroad in Asia. It's easy to pay for college when the USD currency is stronger so that's that. My parents, my loving parents supported me for four years so I can graduate. I will not be graduating. Unknown to them, I've been keeping them as well as my wife and child in the dark. In the 2nd year of my course I failed miserably. I was contemplating suicide right then and there after I found out. Silly me of course thought that I could put if off, perhaps leverage my situation by making myself financially self-sufficient so I dabbed in the forex market for two years with great hopes. Failed. Technical analysis, fundamental analysis, price action, chart and candlestick patterns were worthless. I spent the last past weeks studying a special FX tool that could be considered a black-box but I no longer have time to confirm it. I'm out of time, more on that later. Tomorrow my parents find out if I graduate or not, obviously not.
So reddit title says it all as well as my previous post. Tonight I'm going to be drinking heavily, then put a bag over my head and that's that. Why I'm killing myself? Because I lied, I caused pain, misery. My parents fought tooth and nail, sent money to me through sweat and blood for me to graduate, get my diploma and start my life with my family but I failed them. They've complained more than once that times aren't getting easier, so me being alive doesn't change any of that. But that's not all. Two years dabbing in the most prestigious "profitable" market has failed me time and time again. Only now do I realize that the rabbit hole in the market goes much deeper than silly little charts. If I had more time, I'd be able to reap massive profits in such a short time span. To give you an idea, I took a $5k demo account and turned it into $27k in 6 days worth of trading. Not bad. I needed further study but it's no longer an option for me. I've costed my parents $40k and they lost 4 years of their life, their fragile life, time and money that they're never going to get back. So if I were you and you were reading this, I would refrain from posting anything along the lines of "Oh, it's okay. Tough love. Failure you is better than no you at all. Think about your daughter." Your comment will just get shrugged off like yesterday's news. I need real help redditors and I promise to pay you back even double what it is you spend but I need real help.
So I need a ticket back to the US and a job, one that at least pays min. $30k/yr and most likely a place to stay. If I can have that, all will be good. I'll be off my parent's budget so no more strain to them, I'll be able to take care of my family. It won't bring back those wasted 4 years, but at the least I'll be alive to do what a father must. Other option, I could "sell" this FX tool. This tool isn't downloadable anywhere on the internet anymore. I'm not the programmer but I made contact with the programmer and it's now receiving quotes via FIX api meaning no fake broker feeds, you're getting the real aggregate feed. There's three anomalies I've documented that pinpoints when and where a turning point in the market happens, only for the 28 major currency pairs. Last option, I die. Well, let's see what Reddit(ers) will say in the next 10 hours. This'll be interesting. And for all intents and purposes, if I don't reply back after the allotted 10 hours I'm obviously dead. I'll keep this post up as a reminder to ALL who ask for help on Reddit whether or not someone will or can help you. I'll be online until then. Post's up.

P.S. Why suicide of all things? Because it's for atonement. It may not be atonement in your eyes, in my parent's eyes, in my wife's eyes, in my daughter's eyes, but it's more than atonement for me, so that's all that matters.
submitted by forex_end_game to SuicideWatch [link] [comments]

Three Important Forex Trading Guidelines For Winning Trades

Three Important Forex Trading Guidelines For Winning Trades
This illustrated article will give forex traders explanations of why cash versus online trades are the same, why currency pairs move, and how to analyze individual currencies, instead of technical indicators. Resources and tools included. Here is the article:
https://www.forexearlywarning.com/blog/2013/10/02/forex-trading-guidelines/

https://preview.redd.it/q9gu1ak7zsv41.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=4094ffd895c7cff5b48992d65f890e3eb44234b2
submitted by forexalerts to u/forexalerts [link] [comments]

Cryptocurrency Trading With Forex. How does It work?

The demand of cryptocurrency is growing every day. New technologies demonstrate potential power, demonstrating that a currency that is not controlled by the state can really exist.
Rather than just Bitcoin today a large number of alternative forks have been created in the blockchain. In this article, we will examine what is a cryptocurrency, features of its reputation, as well as methods of working in the Forex market.

What Are Cryptocurrencies?

So, first, let's find out what is cryptocurrency. In essence, it is a decentralized digital network that is based on mathematical principles and is protected by cryptographic methods.
This Digital currency is anonymous, genuine, and in fact open, so shifts between wallet owners are done in minutes, depending on the type of currency. Digital money is not attached to fiat currency, and its product is originally restricted by the algorithm.
First in cryptocurrency is Bitcoin, which appeared in 2009.
After Bitcoin demonstrated its promise, which happened relatively quickly, other digital currencies called altcoins began to appear at an active rate. Today, there are alternative "crypts" with more than 950 items. Nevertheless, not all of them are traded on exchanges and are engaging to investors, miners and traders.
The cryptocurrency market operates 7 days a week and 24 hours a day, allowing exchange participants to buy, sell, and exchange currencies at any convenient time.
This type of working also dismisses the concept of a trading session, which indicates that price variations can be hard at any time of the day.
Furthermore, the market is very volatile, increasing its speculative appeal, and a large number of altcoins opens up more opportunities for exchange participants in terms of trade and investment.
First of all, popularity is, of course, Bitcoin, and the percentage of its dominance over other currencies is 42.2%. The most famous coins today involve Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin, Dash, Cardano and Zcash.
Overall, in today's crypto market, there is active growth of many currencies. In this connection, investments in altcoins raised, which in a particular way, affected their development and rose theirs in value.
Without a doubt, in the market for every cryptocurrency today, one can observe deep bribes or negligible price corrections. However, the general growth trend is unequivocally present.
Therefore, many have already taken their savings out from under the mattresses and rushed to buy dynamic developing alternative currencies.

Crypto Trading with Forex Brokers

Today, digital money is available on brokerage firms' platforms as an alternative trading tool, which is implemented not only in direct trading of crypto assets but also in indifferent value contracts.
Many Forex brokers provide you to start crypto accounts and trade Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, etc in pairs with EUR, JPY USD, RUR, and CNH
The replenishment of the account and the withdrawal of funds are carried out through specialized payment systems. Therefore, after the withdrawal of profits, the trader will only have to exchange the coins earned for real money on online exchanges.
Also, some brokers allow direct trading of Bitcoin and Ethereum alongside the dollar.
Cryptocurrency is a promising investment and trading tool where everyone can find their own profit. In fact, it is easier to exchange it in Forex, since you can win with the same success both in the increases in the course and in your falls.
The most reliable Forex brokers to gamble on cryptocurrencies foretell a continuation of the growth trend in the estimation of all currencies, so the one who worries that the bubble will collapse still has an opportunity to obtain their share of the desired profit.
Those who do not have digital currency can use CFD contracts for difference in normal types of trading accounts with related efficiency
This service is obtainable in the Alpari, InstaForex and Forex Club brokers.
submitted by jakkkmotivator to thecryptobasic [link] [comments]

Trip Planning Step-by-Step Guide

Planning for a trip is a very tiring, yet one of the most exciting thing in my opinion.
I do a very extensive planning, and at times I plan an itinerary even when I don't have any upcoming travel plans. I also enjoy taking inspiration fro other people itinerary.
Although, I feel that there is too much information out there. Lot of effort goes into figuring out, what information is to be used and what is to be ignored.
Step by Step guide on how to plan your next trip - deciding destinations, booking flight and stay, preparing for trip and having fun while traveling.

1. Shortlisting BROAD region or country to visit

Deciding the region to travel to depends on below two factors, in the order decided by personal situation and priority (a must-try experience or activity Versus save some money)

Interest or Flavour of the trip and Dates

Budget

Number of travellers is a factor. I travel economy and I stay in affordable hotels.
Output: Broad region or country which can be visited (i.e. Europe/ SEA / LatAm/ Asia / Oceania / NorAm or slightly more specific Maldives/ Mauritius / French Polynesia / Caribbean)

2. Narrow down on Country to visit -

Decide on the primary/ landing country

Flight search for deals around travel dates Seasonality: not extreme temperature, not too hot (I prefer shoulder seasons) Crowd: not very crowded, but also not deserted ( else, lot of attractions and restaurants are closed down) Remove countries which have any safety concerns around travel dates

For tie-breaker between 2 destinations

Popular festivals Food preference Language comfort and friendly locals What wife says!
Output: Landing country for the trip is finalised

3. Book the onward/return Flight or Train tickets

With good research, (one-way to A + A to B + one-way from B) is cheaper than (two-way from A)
Output: Flight tickets booked

4. Finalise Itinerary - Cities and number of days

I try to stay a minimum of 3 days in a city, so that the only things I remember isn't airport, transit, and hotel check-ins.
Output: A day-wise and city-wise itinerary planned out in a shareable Google sheet, Excel or tool

5. Book Internal commute

Commute can broadly be
(An overnight commute, will save you from booking a stay in the hotel for that night)
Output: Internal Commute booked and and added to itinerary tool

6. Book Stay or Hotels

This is the impossible trinity of stay. Normally, you get only 2 out of the 3 among ( Good Location, Good Amenities, Good Price)

Location or area of city to stay in

*City - Centre (nearby attractions, happening, expensive) VS Outskirts ( faraway attractions, quiet, affordable)

Amenities or comfort of Stay

Budget or Price per might

I research on hotel booking website and read detailed reviews.
Output: Stay Booked and added to itinerary tool

7. To-Do list and shared folder -

Create and execute To-Do List

Shared Folder: Add all flight and hotel bookings and important docs to this and share with co-travellers

Output: All basic and mandatory things planned for the trip

8. Plan activities for the trip

I keep this part of the trip slightly flexible. While, I have 4-5 top things to do( per city ) figured out before the start of trip, for other things, I explore things on the go.
Output: You are 90% ready for the trip

9. Get ready for the trip

Output: Start your trip

10. Enjoy your trip

Output: Have a fun trip

11. Go back to Step 1. Start planning for your next trip

While I come back with great memories and share my travel stories. I start planning for my next trip, having no idea of when to go or where to go.
Original post at Best Trip planning guide on Tripspell
submitted by Tripspell to TripPlanners [link] [comments]

Top 5 tips for better online trading. What yours?

Forex, Cryptocurrency and stock trading are all can be a great way to make money online, but it is not easy if you do not have the right tools and knowledge.
Profitable trading requires patience, planning, and practice for more than several days.
There are some basic hacks that can help you find your footing in the market a bit more quickly and firmly, and we’ll list them below to help you get started.

1. Find yourself

There are so many different strategies, techniques, and methods to trade, you must choose the right one that will be fit for your distinct personality. If you’re an impatient person that is looking for fast profits, for example, consider to be a short-term trader instead of a long term one, as you may find yourself itching to close the trade before the best (or right) time.
If you’re a morning person, make sure you don’t choose a strategy that will operate mostly during your night hours, as exhaustion may compromise your decision-making abilities.
Think about yourself while thinking about your strategies – this self-understanding will pay off in the long run and can help you to be a better trader.

2. Use your brain not your hart

To make sure you make the right decision based on real knowledge and not on the basis of emotion, you should always check your trading history- how many winning trades do you have? How many losing trades do you have? Then you can realize that it is impossible to beat the market 100% of the time and if you took a bad trade - close it in loss, it’s way better than close it after 2-3 days with heavy loss.
Think your strategy isn’t that good? Change it but also give it time, a trading strategy can’t be measured based on 1 or 2 trades, not even 5.

3. Be Liquid

One of the most common mistakes made by novice traders is the lack of liquidity.
When you trade online, you must calculate the position size compare to your available balance (Total balance - Open positions). Most traders take over-size positions that put their entire account at risk, for example, execute $500 EUUSD trade when there’s $1,000 in the account meaning, 50% exposure in the first second of the trade. If the trade will go against us, we will not be able to think clearly and take another trade to recover during the day.
It’s always better to use 1% - 5% of the account balance at any given time = all the open positions together.

4. Do your homework

The best time do your market research is over the weekend when the markets are closed or before your daily trading session started when you are not in a hurry or following on-going trades. Pay close attention to the news, what happened the previous week, and if anything is expected to happen in the upcoming week.
If there is a very important event on the economic calendar such as interest decision with great expectations of change, important report, election or any other high-impact event - it is better to wait a few hours after it’s all over and then- continue trading.

5. Blindly Following Robots \ Automatic Trading Systems

If you find a way where you can't lose and success is guaranteed, will you share it with someone? of course not! Same with automatic trading systems that offered to the public.
A computer and software can provide important information about the technical and fundamental characteristics of a specific stock, currency, or any other tradeable asset, However, many traders make the common mistake of relying too much on these tools without a full understanding of their capabilities.
There is no easy money in life, no one can guarantee you profits without risk, the only solution we have is to learn how to do it properly instead of searching for shortcuts that can cause us heavy losses within a short period of time.
submitted by EducationFxAcademy to Daytrading [link] [comments]

How do you plan your travel? What tools do you use? I follow the following steps.

How do you plan your travel? What tools do you use? I follow the following steps.
Planning for a trip is a very tiring, yet one of the most exciting thing in my opinion.
I do a very extensive planning, and at times I plan an itinerary even when I don't have any upcoming travel plans. I also enjoy taking inspiration from other people itinerary.
Although, I feel that there is too much information out there. Lot of effort goes into figuring out, what information is to be used and what is to be ignored. (List of tools I use are mentioned at the end of the article)

Disclaimer: There is no perfect way to plan a trip. This is how I do it, and still there are lot more things to it, and one post won't do justice to it. I would love to know how you plan your travel.

1. Shortlisting BROAD region or country to visit

Below two factors in the order decided by personal situation and priority (a must-try experience or activity Versus save some money)
  • Interest / Flavour of the trip + Dates
  1. Activities: Mountains / Beach / Museums/ History / Road trip/ Culture (Adventure/ Relaxing/ Romantic / Family)
  2. Dates of Travel: broad idea of month or holiday season

  • Budget (number of travellers is a factor) ( I travel economy and I stay in affordable hotels)
  1. Flight/ Train prices: broad range around $100 / $500 / $1000 two-way ( nearby / little far / very far)
  2. Stay prices: broad range around $30 / $100 / $200 per night ($100 in Bali gets a private villa with pool VS a dingy room in Paris, but assuming a viable stay experience, some places won't offer anything decent for less than $200/300)
  3. Intercity/ Intracity commute: affordable public transport VS semi-affordable car rental (toll/ one way/ two way) VS depends-on-location Taxi services VS expensive private drops (island destinations)

Output: Broad region or country which can be visited eg: Europe/ SEA / LatAm 

2. Narrow down on Country to visit

  • Decide on the primary/ landing country
  1. Flight search for deals around travel dates
  2. Seasonality: not extreme temperature, not too hot (I prefer shoulder seasons)
  3. Crowd: not very crowded, but also not deserted ( else, lot of attractions and restaurants are closed down)
  4. Remove countries which have any safety concerns around travel dates
  • For tie-breaker between 2 destinations
  1. Popular festivals
  2. Food preference
  3. Language comfort and friendly locals
  4. What wife says!

Output: Landing country for the trip is finalised 

3. Book the onward/return Flight or Train tickets

  • Two-way flight: if budget is a constraint + good return flight deal is available + not going to far away destinations on trip
  • One-way flight: if return destination could be different then just book onward flight
with good research, (one-way to A + A to B + one-way from B) is cheaper than (two-way from A)
Output: Flight tickets booked

4. Finalise Itinerary - Cities and number of days

  1. Interests of yours and co-travellers
  2. Commute time/ convenience
  3. Return city is same or different (circular trip or linear trip)
I try to stay a minimum of 3 days in a city, so that the only things I remember isn't airport, transit, and hotel check-ins.
Output: A day-wise and city-wise itinerary planned out in a shareable Google sheet, Excel or tool 

5. Book Internal commute

Commute can broadly be
  • Public transport: I prefer Trains/Buses in Europe, Flights in Asia/SEA
  • Car Rental: Freedom to explore at will. Two-way rental only makes sense. Toll fee, Parking to be taken into account.
  • Private Transport: Island destinations where the resorts arrange your commute
(An overnight commute, will save you from booking a stay in the hotel for that night)
Output: Internal Commute booked and and added to itinerary tool 

6. Book Stay or Hotels

This is the impossible trinity of stay. You get normally only 2 out of the 3 among ( Good Location, Good Amenities, Good Price)
  • Location or area of city to stay in
  1. City - Centre (nearby attractions, happening, expensive) VS Outskirts ( faraway attractions, quiet, affordable)
  2. Prefer day-trips VS spending time in the city (parking is a concern)
  3. Safety of area and connectivity
  • Amenities or comfort of Stay
  1. Hotel VS Hostel VS Airbnb ( meet fellow travellers, party, stay with locals, keep to yourself)
  2. Amenities: Kitchen, Pool, Gym, Pet-Friendly
  • Budget or Price per might
I research on hotel booking website and read detailed reviews.
Output: Stay Booked and added to itinerary tool 

7. To-Do list and shared folder

  • Create and execute To-Do List
  1. Visa, Travel Insurance, Health care
  2. Packing list: based on season, activity planned
  3. Shopping list: based on season, activity planned
  • Shared Folder: Add all flight and hotel bookings and important docs to this and share with co-travellers

Output: All basic and mandatory things planned for the trip 

8. Plan activities for the trip

I keep this part of the trip slightly flexible. While, I have 4-5 top things to do( per city ) figured out before the start of trip, for other things, I explore things on the go.
  • Research things to do: read about activities and food you want to try on blogs, google, tripadvisor, lonelyplanet, youtube etc.
  • Bookmark activities: bookmark or notes tool, Google maps, Tripadvisor, Trip Planing tool
  • Book activities: some popular activities, events tickets or a restaurant you want to visit, have to be booked in advance

Output: You are 90% ready for the trip 

9. Get ready for the trip

  • Pack your things - necessary travel documents (passport, visa)
  • Online check-in of flights
  • Download offline Google maps
  • Sort out payment (Currency, Forex cards etc.)
  • Google translate or popular phrases
  • Important and emergency contacts noted down
  • Inform your family about your plan in case of emergency
  • Sort out your airport/station to hotel commute
  • Inform hotels about any additional requirements
  • Research any safety and local tips

Output: Start your trip 

10. Enjoy your trip

  • Keep flexible schedule
  • Meet local people and fellow travellers
  • Eat local cuisine
  • Don't waste time sleeping in the room
  • Respect the local customs and culture
  • Travel responsibly
  • Do some shopping and bring back gifts for friends and family

Output: Have a fun trip 

11. Go back to Step 1. Start planning for next trip

While I come back with great memories and share my travel stories. I start planning for my next trip, having no idea of when to go or where to go.
Tools I use for
  • Destination Research: Google Search, Blogs, Articles, Forums
  • Flight Deals: Google Flights, Skyscanner, Kayak, Airfarewatchdog, Secretflying
  • Hotel Deals: Airbnb, Booking, Hotels, Agoda, Google Hotels
  • Itinerary: Google Sheet/ Excel/ Notes
  • Packing list: To do/ List apps
  • Things to do: Blogs, Google maps, Viator, Getyourguide, Tripadvisor
submitted by Tripspell to travel [link] [comments]

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